Weather
Grand Lake area (Commerce, OK) — 12-hour hourly forecast · DTN
Current Conditions
Temperature
79°F
Feels 79°F
Wind
SSE 8 mph
Gusts to 16 mph
Humidity
67%
Precip (1h)
0.00"
Precip Prob
0%
12-Hour Forecast
Temperature, feels-like, precipitation, and precip probability
Hazardous Weather Outlook
NWS Tulsa (TSA) · Issued Sep 8, 10:17 AM UTC
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Afternoon. DANGEROUS HEAT. RISK...Significant. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Midday. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Midday. DISCUSSION... Near record to record heat continues areawide today, with heat index values ranging from 105 to 113 across the area. Periods of gusty winds along with the ongoing drought conditions will also raise fire weather concerns as vegetation has become increasingly stressed throughout the region. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will again be possible this afternoon, mainly from southeast Oklahoma into west central and northwest Arkansas. Brief periods of heavy rain, along with locally damaging downburst wind gusts will be the primary concern with any thunderstorms that do develop. Any storm activity should dissipate around or shortly after sunset this evening. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential. THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential. MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Dangerous heat will continue Wednesday afternoon, with near record high temperatures. Spotty afternoon thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon hours. A slow moving cold front is forecast to arrive late Wednesday night through Thursday. Widely scattered showers and scattered thunderstorms are likely to spread along and north of the front with the highest rain chances generally along and north of Interstate 40. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into Friday with hot weather likely to return by next weekend. Daily thunderstorm chances continue into next weekend but uncertainty remains high with how the weather pattern will transition in the wake of the mid week cold front. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
Upstream Stage Forecast
Key inflow gauges — Neosho, Spring & Elk Rivers · Forecast issued Sep 7, 12:41 PM UTC
Elk River at Tiff City
Elk River
186 cfs (fcst)
✓ Within banks
through Sat, Sep 12